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Local Political Expert (Iowa) - Elections Forecasting & Political Risk

  • Science & Research
  • Platform: Mercor
  • Location: Canada, United States
  • Level: Expert

$100-200/hrAs published by the platform.

About this job

This role asks local political analysts to write forecasts and reports on elections, polling and political-risk events in Iowa, reasoning only from evidence available at a fixed cutoff date. It suits practitioners who have made live, state-specific judgments on races and can explain the causes behind expected political and market effects.

What you'll do

  • Write point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
  • Make and document directional judgments on polling, win probabilities and market-implied odds.
  • Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
  • Review model-generated analyses and grade them against an expert standard.

Requirements

Election forecastingPolling analysisPolitical risk analysisCausal event analysisProbabilistic forecastingIowa state politics
  • 8+ years of experience

Pay

$100-200/hr

Pay as published by the platform. It is not a guarantee of income or hours.

Location

Open to residents of: Canada, United States.

How to apply

You apply on work.mercor.com: create a profile, complete a skills assessment, then get matched to projects that fit your background.

All Mercor jobs and how the platform works

Source

Official posting: https://work.mercor.com/jobs/list_AAABoUaziz924AgOiw5EJob_/local-political-expert-iowa-elections-forecasting-political-risk

Last checked on October 17, 2026.

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